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Based on US Energy Information Administration (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook (AOE) predictions, by 2050, the US nuclear capacity for electricity generation may decrease to ~ 80% of 2021 levels, Moreover, by 2050, nearly 50% of the existing US LWR fleet will be within 10 years of 80 years of operation suggesting that without a Life Beyond 80 (LBE) plan and limited new builds and advanced reactors, the US could lose up to 50% of its nuclear capacity resulting in a ~30-gigawatt (GW) capacity shortage by 2060. These numbers could change dramatically depending upon oil and gas supplies, and the growth of renewables.
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Historically, regulators, industry and other research organizations have performed research on materials harvested from a broad range of components, including the reactor pressure vessel (RPV), internals, and piping. Harvesting has included both service-aged materials as well as components from unfinished reactors. This harvesting and associated research has provided valuable insights into materials performance, such as flaw populations, materials properties, aging effects and non-destructive evaluation effectiveness.